Investigation and forecasting of temperature changes in the northern region of the Persian Gulf using new IPCC climate change scenarios

Document Type : Promotion Article

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Abstract

The negative effects of climate change in the future due to the rapid development of industry, technology and less attention to the environment, this will be a very serious issue as it is a serious threat to the future of humanity as Earth's climate is essential. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IPCC with the primary objective of recognizing the aspects of climate change and in particular how human activities affect it, the Board has published a collection of evaluation and expert reports that are the most authoritative sources of information on climate change are well known have documented and the results announced them in first, second, third and fourth assessment reports. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has used the new RCP scenarios as representatives of trajectories of different concentrations of greenhouse gases in compiling its fifth evaluation report. According to the study of climate change in different parts of the world, this study has studied the changes in the Persian Gulf region of Iran. The result of the study is obtaining long-term forecast charts and observing the trend of temperature for this region in the long term from 1950 to 2100, from different models of IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change scenarios, CNRM-CM5 and MIROC-CHEM prediction models were selected for prediction simulation and maximum temperature and minimum temperature prediction and the model was drawn and studied for three regions of Qeshm, Abu Musa and Bushehr located in the Persian Gulf

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